Another week that our President has had a 49% approval rating each day in the Rasmussen Poll. The streak of having an approval rating at 49%+ in the Rasmussen Poll is now 15 consecutive days.
The Democrats, MSM, RINOs, Globalists, CoC etc. have done everything humanly possible to destroy our President. BHO was put on a pedestal by them. Yet on March 1, 2019, President DJT has an approval rating of 49% while BHO on the same date had an approval rating of 48% in the Rasmussen Poll.
They thought that Michael Cohen testifying on Wednesday was going to be the beginning of the end for PDJT. Listen to what these three voters in Ohio had to say to MSNBC earlier today.
Richard Baris of Big Data Polling wrote an incredible article explaining why our President is favorite to win in 2020 as of today.
From the article linked above:
The fundamentals of political prognostication still matter more than the machinations of news-cycle forecasters. They include the economy, demographic vote shares, historical voting patterns, electorate and candidate ideology, etcetera.
As we have begun to build out the PPD Election Projection Model, the fundamentals point to early signs of danger for Democrats in the 2020 presidential election.
The Republican Party scored two big upsets in Connecticut on Tuesday, flipping a district that had been under Democratic control for roughly a quarter-century.
Gennaro Bizzarro defeated Democrat Rick Lopes in Senate District 6, 53.01% to 43.69%, which Hillary Clinton carried against Donald Trump by 26 points. Republican Joseph Zullo defeated Democrat Josh Balter in Assembly District 99 by a margin of 51.44% to 43.18%.
On February 19, Democrat Ibraheem S. Samirah won the special election in Northern Virginia for House of Delegates District 86. But the margin swung Republican by double-digits and he is the first Democrat to fail to crack 60% in the blue district since 2015.
On February 5, Democrats lost Minnesota Senate District 11, a seat that had been controlled by 3 generations of one Democratic family for over 20 years. The swing toward Republicans was 16 points.
These results reenforce a bigger picture.
Predominantly working, blue collar precincts and districts that have overwhelmingly and historically supported the Democratic Party, continue to shift toward the Republican Party.
For a first-term incumbent president’s party, Republicans lost an average number of seats in the U.S. House, and gained an above-average number in the U.S. Senate. In an election that cost them control of the lower chamber, the GOP flipped Minnesota District 1, Minnesota District 8, and picked up Pennsylvania District 14.
Midterms Don’t Predict Presidential Elections
As I’ve argued for years, both parties tend to misread the tide of history, and view it as an affirmation of their party. As a consequence, they overstate what the results mean as it pertains to future electoral viability.
In 2010, Republicans misread the results of what was a true wave election, only to go on to watch their nominee be handily defeated by Barack Obama. Democrats are now making the same mistake, though 2018 wasn’t a true wave.
The problem for Democrats is simple. Those suburbs and concentrations of more affluent, “educated” middle-class voters, also happen to have the largest pivot margins.
Put plainly, these districts are carved from counties that are home to the nation’s swing voters. These counties have never particularly liked Donald Trump on a personal level, yet more than 200 of them voted for him after supporting Mr. Obama.
If the battleground burbs swing back, it’ll get very ugly for Democrats, very quickly, particularly considering the gain the president and Republicans have made among non-urban minorities.
Ideology in the Electorate
Voters in the battleground districts unseated Republicans over the issue of healthcare. Voter analysis and exit polls are quite clear about it.
Even as they pulled the lever for a Democratic candidate in their district, battleground voters still agreed with the president on immigration. They felt the investigations–which Democrats have now prioritized over healthcare–were politically motivated.
Looking at the field of potential 2020 Democratic nominees, there are few who right now could be considered a favorite. The party’s platform is moving too far to the left for the general electorate.
The reelection of President Trump is the most likely outcome for 2020, as it currently stands.
Americans are prospering for the first time in decades. What is absolutely incredible is that Americans of all different backgrounds are winning BIGLY under PDJT.
They didn’t make our President which means they can’t break our President!
WINNING is awesome!