The Democrat world is going to come crashing down starting in November 2018 and concluding in 2020! The data over the past 2 months is absolutely frightening. Richard Baris from PPD is one of the most accurate pollster’s out there. He successfully predicated Florida (his prediction of 1.8 versus actual margin of 1.2) and that our President would win both Michigan and Pennsylvania one day before the election.
He just tweeted the following in reference to Likely Voters (LV):
M.Joseph Sheppard wrote the following that was published in The Federalist:
From the article linked above:
The latest YouGov/Economist poll (May 6-8), one of a few that comprehensively breaks down support by ethnicity, has some frightening news for the Democratic Party.
While President Trump’s approval holds steady among registered voters at 41%, his support among blacks in this poll is striking. If it holds for 2020, it could be devastating for Democrats. Among African-Americans, 16% approve of Trump, 10% are not sure, and 75% disapprove.
Of course, one polling company’s report could be a fluke. Some firms use different methodology, and some don’t break down approval ratings by ethnicity, but the bigger picture is clear.
Marist’s March 19-21 approval for Trump among black Americans was 6%; 17% were unsure, and 77% disapproved.
The Quinnipiac poll, which is consistently negative to Trump, on March 21 found black approval at 11%, “Don’t Know” at 4%, and disapproval at 84%.
Taken in the aggregate, the three polls have Trump’s approval at 11%, at 12% for not sure or don’t know, and disapproval at 77%.
Again, while the negatives are high, the positives are higher than is typical for Republicans, and if black Americans vote in accord with these approval ratings it would be easily enough to tip a tight election.