Here is what is happening with the Shutdown and DACA. The Senate Republicans; Lindsey Graham, Jeff Flake, Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski, Cory Gardner, John McCain and Lamar Alexander would immediately jump on the Durbin/Graham Bill with the 49 Democrats. The Republicans referenced above believe they will easily get at least 3 more Republicans to join them in getting to the 60 vote threshold. Keep in mind that Bob Corker, John Hoevan, Orrin Hatch, Marco Rubio and Dean Heller all voted for the Gang of 8 Bill in 2013.
Just like the Gang of 8 Bill in 2013, the issue is the House. The problem in the House is not getting 218 votes for the Durbin/Graham Bill. The problem is that Paul Ryan promised Republican House Members that if given their vote for the Speaker position, he would use the Hastert Rule on any Immigration Bill. Meaning he would only proceed if at least the majority of the majority of Republican House Members voted in favor of any Immigration Bill.
Right now that would never happen in a million years. There are 30 to 40 House Republicans that would vote Yes but the remaining 200 would vote No. From the article below, one POS House Republican is saying the hell with the Hastert Rule. Thankfully Richard Dent is not running for reelection. His opinion means nothing.
Paul Ryan would lose his Speaker position immediately if he goes back on his promise. He realizes that. That is why he told Flake and Graham that they can forget him bringing up their bill in the House if it were to pass the Senate. He said that the only bill that would ever be brought up in the House is a bill that the President supports.
Our President supports the Goodlatte Bill! Ryan also promised Mark Meadows that if the HFC voted in favor of the CR, he would make sure the Goodlatte Bill is brought to the floor for a vote. At this point, they don’t know if it would get 218 votes because those 30 to 40 Republicans that would vote for Durbin/Graham may not like the hawkish Goodlatte Bill. However, there are vulnerable House Democrats that would be in favor of the Goodlatte Bill than the Durbin/Graham Bill. They know that their constituents would vote them out otherwise.
After sharing all of that, the good news is that our President is the final say on what is acceptable. The Democrats and RINOS in the Senate really screwed up by shutting the government down. If they give in and accept the CR, there is no going back and closing the government in three weeks. Americans will kill them at the voting booth in November. This means our President will have tremendous leverage in what the final bill will have in it. Democrats and RINOS in the Senate would have no leverage.
From the article linked above:
From the article linked above:
House Republicans are sending an early warning to their GOP colleagues in the Senate: We’re not a rubber stamp for any deal you cut with Democrats on immigration.
“I think there will be a breakthrough tonight,” Graham said. “If there’s going to be one, it’s going to be tonight.”
Not so fast, said House Republicans.
“No offense to anybody involved … but Lindsey Graham and [Sen.] Jeff Flake [R-Ariz.] don’t represent where a majority of the Republicans in the Senate are [on immigration], let alone here,” Cole said Sunday, leaving a gathering of House Republicans in the Capitol basement. “So how can they be the lead negotiators on that?
Rep. Mark Meadows (R-N.C.), the head of the far-right House Freedom Caucus, is sending a similar message. He emphasized that Trump has insisted that any deal on DACA must also include provisions to strengthen border security, reduce family-based immigration and eliminate the diversity visa lottery. Meadows said he trusts the president to hold that line, regardless what the Senate moderates produce.
“The president has been very clear in articulating what it would take,” Meadows said.
Meadows also pushed back on reports that Trump might be considering a deal with Senate Minority Leader Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.) that would combine the DACA protections with billions of dollars in border wall funding.
“That was never the deal,” he said. “The president has been very consistent.”
Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) had promised House conservatives before taking the gavel that he would not bring a vote on any immigration proposal that didn’t meet the so-called Hastert Rule, which says that any bill must have the support of the majority of the majority to get a vote.
More recently, Ryan has said he won’t vote on any immigration bill that lacks Trump’s support.
Many conservatives are pushing a Republican bill, sponsored by House Judiciary Chairman Bob Goodlatte (R-Va.), combining a DACA fix with a reduction in legal immigration and a long list of tough enforcement provisions favored by immigration hawks. Yet it’s unclear if the proposal has the Republican support to pass the House — “We haven’t whipped the Goodlatte bill; we don’t know where we’re at,” Cole said — and it would almost certainly fail in the face of Democratic opposition in the Senate.
“We’ve been working steadily, building support very rapidly,” Goodlatte told The Hill on Sunday. He declined to put a number on that support.
Rep. Charlie Dent (R-Pa.), a moderate immigration reformer, said ultimately GOP leaders will be forced to bring a vote on a DACA fix, whether it meets the standards of the Hastert Rule or not.
“I always love it around here. We’re all for the majority of the majority — until we’re not,” Dent, clad in a Philadelphia Eagles jacket, told reporters.
“At some point there’s going to be a bipartisan DREAM Act bill, or DACA bill, that’s gonna have to be voted on in the House — with or without a majority of the majority.
“We’re just gonna have to deal with it.”